Friday, December 11, 2009

Three days after Massachusetts Senate primary, campaign falls off the radar.

Scan the Boston Globe today and you won't find any reference to either of the candidates for Ted Kennedy's Senate seat until you reach the op ed page. There you'll see an article about women in Congress and another about Scott Browns chances of becoming next Gov. of Massachusetts. I suppose it's an already a foregone conclusion that Brown has little chance of winning the Senate seat and all his candidacy does is elevate his position  for a run for Governor. According to the commentary, even there, Brown has little chance of winning  and in fact his ambition is for a position in Congress.

How well he does in a Congressional race might hinge on how well he runs his Senatorial campaign. While it may give him a substantial lead over any other Republican candidates in his district, any misteps in his Senatorial campaign could just as easily lower his chances.

As things stand, Coakley is the front runner and Brown has yet to make any moves to tighten the race. Yesterday Brown signed a "no new taxes" pledge, which is really just a meaningless ploy that Republicans use to highlight their distaste of taxes. For Brown , who call himself an independant thinker  and accuses Coakley of being just another Democratic party liner, the pledge just labels him as a typical Republican party liner. He also opposes the public option on the health care bill and opposes same sex marriage, which is legal in Massachusetts. Only his  Pro Choice  stance makes him any less typical a Republican than he claims to be.

Essentailly, given the positions of both candidates, it's really just a typical Democrat vs a typical Republican race  and the voters will be voting for the party more than the individual candidates. Massachusetts voters, are open to Republicans on the local and state level, but will vote in favor of the Democrats on the national level. Both Massachusttes Democrats and  Independants support a more liberal agenda on national issues.

With that being the case, should Brown use his Senatorial candidacy to secure the Republican nomination for Congress, he will still face an uphill battle to go to Washington and might serve himself better by running for State Attorney General to fill the seat that Coakley will leave vacant when she goes to Washington to become the junior Senator from Massachusetts.

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